Voltron's economics blog. Started in Iraq in 2007 as the "Gamblers Anonymous Support Group" email list.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Damon Vrabel
Damon Vrabel graduated from the United States Military Academy, served as an officer in the US Army, then graduated from Harvard Business School, took a short detour on Wall Street, and had a career in Silicon Valley in several leadership positions in technology corporations.
Recent Canada Free Press Articles
Renaissance 2.0 Videos
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Dow below 10,000
http://cfcsux.blogspot.com/2010/05/yanking-on-leash.html
23 Doomsayers Who Say We're Heading Toward Depression In 2011
Voltron says: But Obama and Bernanke say the economy is "stengthening"
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20100629/ts_afp/useconomyobama_20100629170100http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20100629/ts_afp/useconomyobama_20100629170100
Voltron says: by the time anyone in government utters a discouraging word about the economy, it will be too late. In fact, it will probably mark the nadir
Banks Financing Mexico Drug Gangs Admitted in Wells Fargo Deal - Bloomberg
Monday, June 28, 2010
Fed Economist: Bloggers are Stupid
A Richmond Va. Federal Reserve Economist, Kartik Athreya wrote a paper recently that trashes economic bloggers. Mr. Artheya has a PhD from the University of Iowa. I'm not so sure a few years in corn land gives him the right to take cheap shots at the new media. I am absolutely convinced that this type of thinking should not be expressed by Fed officials. It proves to me that the Fed is an elitist organization that is out of touch with America in 2010. The full report from Athreya is here. Some of the more offending comments:
Writers who have not taken a year of PhD coursework in a decent economics department (and passed their PhD qualifying exams), cannot meaningfully advance the discussion on economic policy.
So we have to go to school for two years to be able to write about the issues of the day. That would exclude me and a lot of others. The fact that I worked on Walls street for 30 years does not qualify me to say a word.
The response of the untrained to the crisis has been even more startling. I listen to Elizabeth Warren on the radio fearlessly speculating about the nature of credit market dysfunction, and so on.
Taking on Elizabeth Warren is a big mistake Mr. Arthreya. You will regret this choice of words.
The real issue is that there is extremely low likelihood that the speculations of the untrained, on a topic almost pathologically riddled by dynamic considerations and feedback effects, will offer anything new. Moreover, there is a substantial likelihood that it will instead offer something incoherent or misleading.
Everything that comes from the Federal Reserve is incoherent and misleading.
The sophomoric musings of auto-didact or non-didact bloggers or writers is instructive. For those who want to really know what the best that economics has to offer is, you must look here.
The only people you should listen to is Federal Reserve economists? I take a different view. The last people you should trust in this matter is FRB economists.
The general public are simply being had by the bulk of the economic blogging crowd.
The general public is being had. But not by the bloggers. They are being had by the folks who make the choices for us at the FRB.
The views expressed are my own, and do not necessarily represent those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, or Federal Reserve System.
Actually the views expressed are a perfect representation of the mind set at the FRB. Narrow minded, elitist and just plain wrong.
I would suggest that Mr. Arthreya do some additional research. He should look up the word "hubris" (extreme haughtiness or arrogance). After he understands that concept he should write an apology, that or he should resign from the FRB.
Friday, June 25, 2010
Wells Fargo: Money Flow Leader
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703615104575328851710485606.html?ru=yahoo&mod=yahoo_hs
Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Monday, June 21, 2010
Sunday, June 20, 2010
Saturday, June 12, 2010
Worried About Their Dollars, More Are Turning to Gold - NYTimes.com
Voltron says: don't buy from goldline; they overcharge. Check prices
at kitco.com
NYTimes - Waking Up From the American Dream
"You hear all this rhetoric about stability caused by homeownership," ... "But the communities that survived the housing bubble the best were the ones that had the highest percentage of renters."
a home mortgage deduction ... essentially "bribes people to buy bigger houses." ... renters offer plenty of social good themselves, helping creating vibrant cities. "The idea that homeownership is always great and renting is un-American is an awful state of affairs," he said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/12/business/12nocera.html?pagewanted=all
Friday, June 11, 2010
Financial Armageddon: 'Alarmingly Bleak' and 'Littered with Huge and Half-Empty Glasses'
"An optimist sees the glass as half full. A pessimist sees the glass as half empty. I see the glass as twice as big as it needs to be,"
Thursday, June 10, 2010
SDS, BP money flow leaders
UltraShort S&P500 ProShares ETF (SDS) topped the list at midday for Buying on Weakness , which tracks stocks that fell in price but had the largest inflow of money.
British Petroleum (BP) topped the list for Selling on Strength , which tracks stocks that rose in price but had the largest outflow of money.
See http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704312104575298722612559374.html for the full list of money flow leaders.
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Waterboarding the Laws of Economics
I'm not certain who it was that said There is no situation so bad that government cannot make it worse, but as proof of that axiom, I offer the following: [Thanks L!]
Last week, three House members introduced a $15 billion stimulus bill to provide homebuilders with construction loans. Yep - the plan is to build more houses in an attempt to save the housing industry from its oversupply of houses. Irony just died.
. . .
There's ample reason to believe this bill will do more bad than good, and arguments used to justify its existence are easy to shoot down.The National Association of Home Builders, for example, wrote that without this bill and its fostering of new construction, we'd threaten "to end the budding housing recovery before it has time to take root." That's so perfectly wrong, it hurts. You have to put the laws of supply and demand in a medieval torture device to come up with an example of additional supply healing a crash caused by oversupply. When the price of something is falling, increasing supply accelerates the drop. Conversely, removing supply (blowing up houses) lifts prices. No secrets. No magic. No tricks. They call these the laws of supply and demand because there aren't practical exceptions.
Perhaps it's "Hair of the dog that bit him," economic theory. It makes no sense, but which of the stimulus bills did?
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Bonds could lose 30 percent of their value
Excerpt:
Bob Froehlich with Hartford Mutual Funds says ... the bubble could pop when the Fed does what it'll have to do to stave off inflation -- raise interest rates. He says when that happens, today's bonds could lose 30 percent of their value if they're resold on the secondary market.
http://marketplace.publicradio.org//display/web/2010/06/08/pm-concern-over-a-bond-market-bubble
History lesson
I keep reading everywhere that Greece is the new Lehman Brothers .... Lehman itself was the new Argentina (2001), and Argentina was the new CreditAnstalt (1931), and CreditAnstalt was the new previous Argentina (1890), and the previous Argentina was the new South Sea Company (1720), which was the new Philip II of Spain, who through his multiple defaults (1557, 1560, 1575, 1596) managed repeatedly to be the new himself. Governments and bankers have been merrily tossing the bankruptcy baton back and forth for half a millennium.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1a9cf0ac-7019-11df-8698-00144feabdc0.html
Monday, June 7, 2010
Rapper Chamillionaire Strategically Defaults
...His 7,583 square foot mansion in Houston, Texas was a losing endeavor, and ... he simply chose to walk away . . .
Chamillionaire played down the severity of the situation, telling TMZ, “when I’m Chathousandaire, then y’all have a real story.”
http://www.thetruthaboutmortgage.com/rapper-chamillionaire-strategically-defaults/
Next, Lil Jon defaults . . .
Voltron: Lil Jon, you're house is underwater
Lil Jon: What?!?!
Voltron: You owe more than it's worth
Lil Jon: What?!?!
Voltron: Do you want to stop losing money?
Lil Jon: YEAH!!!
Voltron: You should let the bank foreclose
Lil Jon: OKAY!!!!
with sound effects: http://www.milkandcookies.com/link/15215/detail/
Saturday, June 5, 2010
The Greek Crisis Explained (video)
The Greek Crisis Explained, Episode 1 from NOMINT on Vimeo.
Voltron says: I like the helicopter
The Greek Crisis Explained, Episode 2 from NOMINT on Vimeo.
